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Hypothesis-testing

Hypothesis testing is a fundamental process in inferential statistics used to evaluate the validity of a claim or assumption about a population. It involves formulating a null hypothesis (H0) and an alternative hypothesis (H1), collecting sample data, calculating a test statistic, and determining the probability (p-value) of observing the data or more extreme data if the null hypothesis were true. Based on the p-value, a decision is made to either reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis, drawing conclusions about the population based on the sample evidence. The goal is to provide objective and reproducible evaluations to the underlying assumptions being tested.

Hypothesis-testing meaning with examples

  • A researcher wants to test if a new drug reduces blood pressure. They formulate a null hypothesis (no effect) and an alternative hypothesis (drug lowers pressure). After analyzing patient data, they calculate a p-value. If the p-value is less than the significance level (e.g., 0.05), they reject the null hypothesis and conclude the drug works.
  • In marketing, companies employ hypothesis testing to gauge the effectiveness of an ad campaign. The null hypothesis might be that the campaign has no impact on sales. Data on sales before and after the campaign are analyzed, generating a p-value to determine whether the campaign significantly influenced sales. Based on the results, the campaign strategy is validated or modified.
  • A scientist hypothesizes that a specific gene influences plant growth. Through controlled experiments, the scientists tests the effects of the gene and compares the growth rates of plants, with and without the gene. Statistical analysis using hypothesis-testing, with a calculated p-value, allows for a conclusion on the validity of their initial claim.
  • Economists utilize hypothesis-testing to assess the impact of a new economic policy. They would define a null hypothesis (no effect on unemployment rate) and collect relevant data. A statistical test, such as a t-test or a chi-squared test is used to assess if the policy has significant effects and if the null hypothesis can be rejected or not.
  • Educational psychologists utilize hypothesis testing to study learning methodologies. For instance, testing a hypothesis on student performance, comparing new teaching methods to traditional methods. Researchers analyze the results to see if any differences between the two groups are statistically significant (evaluating a p-value), supporting or rejecting the educational method.

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