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Likelihoods

Likelihoods refer to the probabilities or chances that something will happen or is true. They represent the degree to which an event is expected to occur or a statement is believed. Assessing likelihoods involves evaluating evidence, considering various possibilities, and often using statistical or analytical methods. Understanding likelihoods is crucial for informed decision-making, risk assessment, and planning in various fields, including science, business, and everyday life. The term encompasses a range of probabilities, from highly improbable to virtually certain.

Likelihoods meaning with examples

  • Scientists assessed the likelihoods of different climate change scenarios, using complex models and historical data to predict future temperatures. This information informed policy debates and risk management strategies for governments worldwide, dealing with extreme weather events. Analyzing the likelihood helped to manage the environmental crisis better.
  • Insurance companies meticulously calculate the likelihoods of various incidents, such as car accidents or natural disasters, to determine premiums. These calculations are based on a large dataset of historical occurrences that allow them to manage the risk associated with payouts and to create fair terms for their customers. They use this information for pricing.
  • In the stock market, investors analyze the likelihoods of a company's success, considering factors like market trends, competitor activities, and financial performance. These evaluations form the basis of investment decisions, impacting the value of assets as people invest in companies based on data. The likelihood decides if you take a risk or not.
  • Doctors often discuss the likelihoods of different diagnoses when evaluating a patient's symptoms, offering different courses of action. These can be based on medical test results and known risk factors, explaining what the possibilities of a person being ill are. Patient treatment plans are often based around the likelihood of a medical condition.
  • A project manager estimates the likelihoods of various project delays and costs to create contingency plans and ensure the successful completion of a project. This involves using the likelihood to prepare for issues that might crop up in the planning phase, or within the timeline. By doing so, the project's likelihood of succeeding increases.

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